Saturday, October 19, 2019

NFL Week 7: 8 Picks Everyone Knows the Rules



Mistakes were made last week and I went 3-4 for my first below .500 week of the year. My record isn’t where I hoped it would be at 14-14, but in the league where they  pay for play (ughkay) it’s not how you start it’s how you finish. I like a season high 8 plays this week after hitting a ML/Spread bet on KC Thursday.

Rams -3 @ Falcons - Dan Quinn and the Falcons find new ways to lose games, including a missed extra point last week against the Cardinals. The Falcons defense could cure what ails Jared Goff and the rest of the Rams offense that’s looked more like the team we saw in the Super Bowl than the rest of the 2018 season. The addition of Jalen Ramsey, who has cured his nagging back in the LA sun, should be able to stop the Falcons biggest weapon in Julio Jones.

Raiders +5 @ Packers - Are the Packers good? Rodgers has looked almost pedestrian this season and the Green Bay D has settled back down to earth after a hot start. Jon Gruden and the swashbuckling Derek Carr has a week to prepare coming off their bye, and are riding a two game winning streak. This should be a one possession game and I’ll be happy taking Oakland with the points.

Vikings -1 @ Lions - Kirk Cousins has looked much better the last two games and the Vikings have rallied around their QB. Detroit was screwed by the refs on Monday Night but they still have the feel of a team that’s always the bridesmaid and never the Bride.



Colts -1 v Texans - Houston followed Indy’s game plan to beat the Chiefs last week. Both teams are riding high in an early matchup that could determine the AFC South winner. Indy has rallied around Jacoby Brissett after Andrew Luck’a sudden retirement and I see them squeaking out a win at home.

Giants -2.5 v Cardinals - This will be a big test to see how Danny Dimes bounces back from some adversity, after throwing four interceptions and going 0-2 the past two weeks. Saquon, and safety blanket Evan Engram should be back against a bad Cardinals defense. This is a fun matchup of rookie QBs that will hopefully see each other a lot in the next ten years, and I give the first round to Jones and the G-Men.

Saints ML @ Bears - News has come out that Mitch Trubinsky is questionable after practicing this week. This will be a battle of two of the top defenses in the league, and I trust the veteran Teddy Bridgewater to not make the mistake the Bears QB will.

Eagles ML @ Cowboys - Dallas is banged up right now, and it's even worse their injuries are in clusters. 2 WR, 2 CB and 2 OT are out. I saw first hand what the Eagles front 7 can do against a bad line, and I see Big D continuing their downfall.



Jets +9.5 v Patriots - The Jets lost by 16 without Darnold, they can't lose by more than 10 with him, right? In all seriousness I have to think Jetlife is one of the stadiums Brady has performed the worst in the past 10 years. Adam Gase also gave the Pats some trouble during his tenure as Dolphins HC. CJ Mosley is trending to come back and Gang Green is riding high after getting  their QB back and the first win of the season at home against Dallas last week. Jets fans have amnesia about weeks two through five,  and a moral victory would be huge here as they head into a cupcake schedule in the second half.

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