Week 11 Picks

NFL Season 33-28-1

Last Week 3-3

Hit with two of the worst all time bad beats last week, but still finished .500, and 54% overall for the season.

Falcons +3.5 @ Saints

Taysom Hill hahahahahaha. Sean Payton will regret this decision and if I'm being duped by all the reports I'll take the L. 

Patriots -1.5 v Texans

The Pats can run the ball better than almost any other team in the league, and Houston has trouble stopping the run. As much as I hate it, you can never count out the Pats.

Eagles +2.5 @ Browns

This line is fishy. The Browns are one of the worst 6-3 teams in NFL history, and I see Wentz bouncing back after a bad performance against the Giants.

Dolphins -4 @ Broncos

Drew Lock is questionable with a rib injury, and Miami is hitting their stride on both sides of the ball. Give me the better team with the points.

Colts -1.5 v Packers

The square betters are lining up to take Rodgers getting points here, but the sharps know better. Indy is a better team and will control the clock with their three-headed rushing attack.

Rams +4.5 @ Bucs

I think Brady's bedtime is 8 PM since he's looked awful in prime time this season. Tampa has struggled when they play better defenses, and Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey and company need a win to keep pace with the Seahawks out west. 

Week 10 Picks - Home Teams Prevail

NFL Season 30-25-1

Last Week 2-4

Browns -4 v Texans

The Texans defense stinks, and I think Cleveland is actually better without Odell. The Browns are also getting Nick Chubb back on Sunday, and should be able to run all over Houston.

Giants +4 v Eagles

I love taking home dogs in divisional matchups. Both New York and Philly know each other well, and typically place close games. The Thursday night a few weeks ago was no exception, and I see this matchup playing out very similar.

Panthers +6 v Bucs

I'm going to keep riding Teddy Bridgewater as an underdog. I like the game better now that McCaffery is out since the line shifted two more points in our favor.

Cardinals -2.5 v Bills

Kyler Murray is putting together an MVP season, and might finish with over 4,000 passing and 1,000 rushing yards. Neither team's defense is playing as well as we expected going into the season, and this game should be a shootout. I just trust Kyler more than Allen to make that one extra play to win. 

Dolphins -1.5 v Chargers

Not going to lie, this line scares me a little. Miami should be at least 3.5 point fIavorites in this situation, but I can't pass it up. If it loses on Sunday then so be it.

Rams -2.5 v Seahawks

The public is still in love with Seattle, but even with Jamal Adams back their defense can't stop a nosebleed. I think the Rams are back in form after a Super Bowl hangover and are well rested off a bye. Sean McVay had an extra week to gameplan some offensive schemes to get Jared Goff cooking. 

Week 9 - Keep the Train Rolling

NFL Season 28-21-1

Last Week 4-2

Another profitable week last week has us up 7 units on the season. It was great watching a Charger collapse being on the opposite side of it for once.

Seahawks -3 @ Bills

The Seahawks are the most entertaining team in the league offensively. Seattle's defense is getting Jamal Adams back this week, and he should be able to spy Josh Allen to prevent any big plays with his feet. I think that should give them enough of an edge to win and cover.

Colts +1.5 v Ravens

I think Indy is one of the more underrated teams in the AFC, and the Ravens didn't look the same last week after LT Ronnie Stanley was injured. Add to that CB Marlon Humphry is out this week with COVID, and I can see the Colts pulling off the upset.

Texans -7 v Jaguars

The Jags are terrible, and Minshew is out Sunday as well. Houston is coming off a bye, and as bad as they've played the first half, the roster is much more talented that Jacksonville.

Raiders +1 @ Chargers

The Chargers and Anthony Lynn are the funniest team in football, and no lead is safe. The Raiders are hard to get a read on since they play so inconsistently. Still, I'm going to ride with them after they upset the Browns last week on the road.

Dolphins +4.5 @ Cardinals

Hand up, I was wrong about Miami last week. Tua didn't need to do much in his debut as the defense and special teams got the Phins out to a large lead. I think the number is too high in this game, and see Miami keeping it within a field goal.

Bucs -4.5 v Saints 

In his Tampa debut, Brady threw two interceptions in a 24-23 loss to the Saints. He's only thrown 2 picks total in the last seven games and is getting comfortable with his weapons and that's a dangerous combo. Tampa sleep walked through 3 quarters on Monday and still came out with a win, and I don't think the Saints are as good as their record.

Week 8 - Tua's Debut and Two Big AFC Divisional Matchups

 NFL Season 24-19-1

Last Week 3-2-1

I was a missed extra point away from another 4-2 week, but I'll take the 1 unit win last week.

Colts -3 @ Lions    

I love the Colts coming off a bye against a Detroit team they're much  better than.

Bengals +7 v Titans

Change his nickname from Joe Cool to Joe Covers. Burrow and the Bengals are 5-2 ATS this season, and I think they get the backdoor here getting a touchdown.

Rams -3.5 @ Dolphins

LA put out a statement against Chicago on Monday, and will now face rookie Tua Tagovailoa in his NFL debut. I see Donald and Ramsey not being so welcoming to the former Alabama star.

Bills -4 v Patriots

If fans were allowed to attend games, Bills Mafia would be going nuts this week. The Pats are reeling with back to back losses, and they don't have Brady to save them. On top of that, Edelman and Harry are out. I can't see how they stay in this game.

Broncos +3 v Chargers

The Chargers are a pesky team, as Justin Herbert has played well his rookie season. That being said, their wins have come against the Bengals and Jaguars. I think the Broncos defense is good enough to keep them in this one and pull off the slight upset.

Steelers +4.5 @ Ravens

I think this is a matchup of two teams trending in opposite directions. The Black and Yellow are playing lights out and they keep the momentum going today.