Week 7 - Road Teams Will Prosper

NFL Season 21-17

Last Week 4-2

Browns -3 @ Bengals

Last time these two teams played, Cleveland ran the ball down the Bengals throats and should've easily covered the 6 point spread. However, Burrow led Cincy to a backdoor cover. Even without Nick Chubb, I don't expect this game to be much different. Everyone's making too big a deal out of Cleveland's loss to the Steelers.

Steelers +1 @ Titans

That leads me to this game. I think the Steelers are legit Super Bowl contenders. I didn't know how Big Ben would look after almost missing the whole 2019 season with an injury, as this is also his first season without Lev Bell and Antonio Brown. So far, the team hasn't lost a step. The Titans losing left tackle Taylor Lewan will be a big factor in this game, since they're throwing his backup into the fire trying to stop TJ Watt.

Panthers +7.5 @ Saints

I'm still riding Sir Purr and the Panthers. The Bears defense bent but didn't break last week, and Teddy Bridgewater still had the ball with a chance to tie the game on the final drive. The public still thinks these are the Saints of the past decade with Drew Brees, and I'll keep fading them in these spots. I'll even sprinkle the moneyline on Carolina as well. 

Seahawks -3.5 @ Cardinals

Seattle is 6-2 after their bye under Russel Wilson. This is a big game for the division, as the Seahawks can extend their lead to 3 games over Arizona with a win. I think the Kyler and the Cards are good, but I see Wilson leading Seattle to a game winning TD on the final drive for the win and cover.

Bucs -4 @ Raiders

The Raiders are just 3-7 after a bye since 2010. After a COVID scare, only one offensive lineman will be out for Vegas, but I'm not sure how the line will play after missing practice most of the week. Brady is getting more comfortable with his weapons in Tampa, and I see them winning this easily. 

Bears +6 @ Rams

The Bears do just enough to win every week, and playing like a team that believes in themselves. The 3-3 Rams have yet to beat a team with a winning record this season, with the only impressive performance coming against Football Team. Give me Big Dick Nick with the points and they may win outright as well. 

For Whom Lev Bell Tolls & Week 6 Picks

"Take a look to the sky just before you die. It's the last time you will."

The 2020 Jets are a comedy, but a bad comedy like Grown Ups, and I wish the season was already over. An injury Darnold inexplicably came back in the same game from, will keep him out a second week (same situation for Mekhi Bechton), so Joe Flacco will once again start for Gag Green. As the season continues to slip away into disaster, it's looking more and more likely that Trevor Lawrence will be the starting QB in 2021 before we even gave Sam a real chance at becoming that franchise QB three years ago. 

On Tuesday night, news broke that the Jets ended their much maligned relationship with running back Lev Bell. Yes, the same Bell that was a 1st team All-Pro three times with the Steelers. Yes, the same Lev Bell that had 1,800 yards from scrimmage for three straight seasons before becoming a Jet. Yes, the same Lev Bell that led the league with 406 touches in 2017. Yes, the same Lev Bell that Mike Maccagnan gave a four-year $52 million deal to last offseason. Yes, the same Lev Bell, that along with CJ Mosley, was going to make the Jets a destination for future big name free agents. Yes, the same Lev Bell, that it was clear soon to be exiled head coach Adam Gase didn't want on his team in the first place.

At the end of the day, the Jets franchise never deserved him. Jetlife Stadium is a place where careers go to die. In 17 games with the Jets, Bell averaged just 3.3 yards per carry, a full yard below his average with the Steelers. Bell has a lot to prove, and I hope he does well with the Chiefs, and gets the ring he wants in February.

So, where does that leave the Jets? As long as Adam Gase is the coach, we'll continue feeding the ball to 40 year old Frank Gore instead of giving rookie LaMichael Perine his fair share of the touches. Perine is one of the few Jets playmakers who has the potential of breaking a play for a touchdown, but we refuse to use him. Luckily, Bell's deal was practically a 2-year deal of guaranteed money, and we'll only take a cap hit of $4 million in 2021. 

I can't take any more disappointment. Goddamn Jets

NFL Season 17-15

Last Week 4-2

Had a good week last week, going 4-2 in my picks. The Steelers gave me a backdoor cover after the Eagles missed a game-tying field goal in the 4th quarter. I'll take the L when picking the Chiefs any day, there will be more profitable days betting for them than against them.

Bengals +7 @ Colts

Joe Burrow took a beating last week against a good Ravens team, and I think the rookie will have a good bounce back spot here against Indy. Phillip Rivers is starting to show his age, as Frank Reich is trying to quiet rumors that he will be making a change at QB. I feel like the Bengals are sneaky good enough to cover the touchdown spread.

Panthers -1 v Bears

Going to ride this Panthers wave, and they're probably my favorite team this year. Robby Anderson is showing the world the superstar that Jet fans knew he would become once he left that hellhole in the Meadowlands.

Falcons +170 ML @ Vikings

Going back to last week, you always take a team after they fire their coach. The Vikings will be without Dalvin Cook this week after a heartbreaking loss Sunday night in Seattle. I think Matty Ice hooks up with Ridley for a pair of touchdowns as the Falcons are ahead after 45 minutes and don't blow it in 4th quarter.

Giants -3 v Redskins

New York is enduring another season of bad football, but I think Ron Rivera and the Football Team are actually trying to tank after benching Dwayne Haskins. Joe Douglas has the Giants fighting for him and if they don't get a win here, I don't know when they'll have their next chance.

Bucs (Pick 'Em) v Packers

75% of bets are on Rodgers and the undefeated Pack, but Vegas has moved the line from -3.5 to a pick'em. This is reverse line movement at it's best kids. Brady had an extra three days to think about his fourth down gaffe, and will have a healthier receiving corps. Take the bet and thank me on Monday.

49ers +3 v Rams

This line stinks. The 49ers got blown out by Miami last week, while the Rams steamrolled the Skins. Yet, the spread is still only 3. When things are too good to be true, they usually are. Give the Sunday night dog.

Week 5 In the League Where They Pay for Play

NFL Season 13-13

Last Week 2-4

Had a bad week last week, the Lions were up 14-0 and the Saints were back ahead two scores before halftime, and Cam Newton was announced as out right after I made my picks. Time for a nice bounce-back in week 5.

Panthers +1 @ Falcons

Teddy Bridgewater and Robby Anderson... what could've been for the Jets. Robby is learning new things every day in Carolina, like Sir Purr is not a bear, but a panther. Matt Rhule has started to turn the Panthers around, while Dan Quinn and the Falcons are trending in the opposite direction. The Falcons secondary is decimated with injuries and I don't see them righting the ship.

Texans -5.5 v Jaguars

If this team doesn't get right after firing Bill O'Brien and facing the Jags I don't know when they're going to win. JJ Watt and Deshaun Watson, the two leaders of the club should ball out.

Steelers -7 v Eagles

I can't see how the Eagles banged up o-line keeps Wentz standing against TJ Watt, Bud Dupree, and the Steelers. Philly got the upset win Sunday night against the banged up Niners while Pittsburgh has an unexpected bye week due to COVID. Take the better team who's rested.

Chiefs -11 v Raiders

I don't like giving the Chiefs too often, since they win almost every week. Patty should pick apart the Raiders secondary. I see KC scoring 35+ on Sunday.

Cowboys - 8 v Giants

The Giants haven't scored a touchdown in two weeks, and their offense might be more inept than the Jets, which is hard to believe. New York hasn't beaten the Boys since December 2016, and I can't see how they buck that trend this week.

Chargers +9 @ Saints

I've always been a believer in Justin Herbert and he's looking great 3 games into his career. We saw a vintage Saints performance last week against a bad Lions team, while LA blew a 3 touchdown lead to Brady and the Bucs. Anthony Lynn has his team playing hard, and I'd even sprinkle some money on the Chargers to win outright.

Week 4 - The Jets Won't Ruin My Sunday

NFL Season 11-9

Last Week 4-4

Colts -2.5 @ Bears

I'm not a believer in Big Dick Nick. Let kids think Santa Clause and Big Dick magic is real,I know the Falcons love blowing 4th quarter leads. Sam Darnold looked clueless against this Colts secondary last weekend, and maybe the ghosts followed him to Indy, since he looked much better against the Broncos last night, or maybe the Colt's secondary is that good.

Raiders +3 v Bills

Bills Mafia will be a the second team to get a taste of the Vegas flu, which could just be coronavirus or chlamydia, I'm not sure. I'll keep picking the Raiders at home until it stops being profitable. I can see this being a letdown spot for Buffalo who is flying high after their exciting win agains the Rams Sunday.

Patriots +7 @ Chiefs

Only an idiot bets against Patty Mahomes two weeks in a row, right? Get my dunce cap ready, as I like what I'm seeing from Cam and the Pats. I think the Chiefs win, but Belichick gets his ground game going and keeps the ball away from Mahomes as much as possible. I'd consider buying a point and getting New England at +8.

Lions +4.5 v Saints

The public is all over the Saints. The black and gold can't lose three straight games, right? Wrong, Vegas hasn't moved the line at all, which means that sharps are backing Stafford and the Lions. I'll side with the sharps every day. 

Browns +4.5 @ Cowboys

The Boys should be 0-3 ATS this season, with only a phantom offensive PI saving them Week 1. The Browns are riding high, and Odell is a notorious Cowboy killer. I think he puts on a show Sunday, and I'd even go Browns ML here. 

49ers -7 v Eagles

Metlife couldn't have been too bad for the Niners as a pee wee team could've won agains the Jets and Giants. Hopefully Shanahan likes his home field better, tough shit, what can I say. Eagles fans screams for Jalen Hurts get louder after another loss.